International Judicial Monitor
Published by the International Judicial Academy, Washington, D.C., with assistance from the
American Society of International Law

Fall 2014 Issue
 

International Law Insight

 

The Fog of War: Is the Rule of Law Still Relevant?*

David Koplow

By: David A. Koplow, Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law Center

I’d like to put before you four propositions about the nature of law – especially international law - and its relevance and utility in the currently tumultuous circumstances involving the use or potential use of military force in so many diverse locations around the world.  These propositions are, deliberately, contestable - indeed, I hope to instigate sufficient controversy so that a more productive dialog can ensue, testing these propositions and perhaps refining them for future application.

Before proceeding, however, I’d like to begin with a brief recital of a passage from legal history that underlies or inspires my interest in these particular propositions.  It comes from Associate Justice Louis D. Brandeis, dissenting in the famous 1928 U.S. Supreme Court decision in Olmstead vs. United States, one of the first occasions the Court took to address the then-emerging practice of wiretapping.  Brandeis cautioned that we should be especially apprehensive about government excesses or intrusions undertaken for seemingly benign motivations.  That is, we should be particularly skeptical about vigorous actions justified in pursuit of activities that we, basically, do want the government to serve, such as providing for the common defense and securing the public order.  Brandeis presciently wrote: 

Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the government's purposes are beneficent. Men born to freedom are naturally alert to repel invasion of their liberty by evil-minded rulers. The greatest dangers to liberty lurk in insidious encroachment by men of zeal, well-meaning but without understanding. 

1.  Law does matter.

This first proposition may seem exceedingly modest, merely asserting that law does make something of a difference in how people and states approach international politics, crises, and combat.  But it has been routinely challenged by skeptics and “realists,” who assert, in varying ways, that state behavior is driven exclusively by hard-headed calculations of self-interest.  They claim that states assess short-run and long-run costs and benefits, and pursue maximum advantage, regardless of what the rules of law may purport to specify.  International law is but an epiphenomenon, they say, and states will readily ignore it when their interests so direct.

I concede that there is much to this perspective, but I argue that law does make an independent contribution, in three ways.  First, law matters in creating the institutions, procedures, and modes of communication through which states conduct their routine dealings; it establishes the “rules of the road” for orderly international affairs.  Like traditional highway rules of the road, these background structures are rarely noticed; they are not felt as great impediments to our freedom of action, but they do facilitate smooth and accident-free daily traffic.  This quasi-governmental infrastructure includes the United Nations, the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, and various rules such as those about sovereign and diplomatic immunity.  These legal structures constitute, as some say, “wise restraints that make us free,” in that they provide a relatively unproblematic venue for the conduct of daily business among states.

Second, law matters in shaping international dealings.  It recognizes state behaviors that may accrete into patterns, and that may further generate expectations of continuity; other states may, in turn, come to rely upon these expectations, and an intangible but strong sense of legitimacy may arise.   These crystallizing notions of what states “should” do will affect state reputations and relationships.  They will accordingly influence the utilitarian calculation that the realists claim is the foundation for state behavior.  Thus, even if one is skeptical about the power and majesty of international law per se, one may nonetheless concede that it becomes at least indirectly relevant to the story of international relations, because a state does care about its reputation, its status as a respectable player in the family of states, and the willingness of other participants to accept its place in the community.

Finally, and most dramatically, international law matters because it contains rules that directly impede the behavior of states, even in the most important and salient areas regarding the use of military force.  I do not claim that states invariably obey these rules – any more than individual people invariably obey the domestic rules of a national legal system.  We all know that even in an exceedingly law-intensive society such as the United States, individuals, corporations, and other actors routinely violate the laws – the jails are full of miscreants, and there are many more who seem to persistently evade effective detection, apprehension and prosecution.  Why should we be surprised if international law similarly fails to achieve perfect compliance? 

Perhaps the most accurate characterization of our current condition would be a variation on the aphorism offered by Louis Henkin: Almost all states obey almost all international law almost all the time.  That is surely far from a satisfactory situation, but I do not believe that a more powerful assertion could be justified about compliance with domestic law, either.

In both the domestic and the international systems, the players do care about their public images and their self-images; they seek to wrap themselves in the trappings of lawfulness; they see value in sustaining the posture of “law-abiding citizen”; and they seek to avoid the creation of precedents that could come back to haunt them when exercised by another, adverse player.

2.  Law is typically a lagging, not a leading, indicator of the human experience.

Law is rarely on the cutting edge of social developments.  Regarding both domestic statutes and international treaties, by the time the law-making tool is finalized, often the relevant community has already pre-resolved the competing pressures and interests, and the legal instrument merely codifies the consensus that has already emerged.  There are, of course, controversial legislative enactments, judicial opinions, and international agreements, but more often, the lawmakers are responding to, rather than anticipating or creating, an emerging cultural understanding.

 

This relationship is particularly pronounced regarding international law, because the global system incorporates only a starkly underdeveloped, primitive set of lawmaking tools, making international law fragmentary, slow to emerge and difficult to update.  We do not have any real global legislature that could swiftly prescribe new binding rules to cope with emergent problems.  There is no international judicial mechanism that plays nearly the role in daily life that courts occupy inside the United States.  A capacious international executive branch is similarly absent, rendering the global government effectively leaderless on too many issues.

Moreover, when international law does emerge – via treaty, customary international law, decision of the International Court of Justice, or any other mechanism – it is too often incomplete, unclear, or of contested legitimacy.  Again, this should not be surprising; it is always difficult for lawmakers to anticipate with clarity and precision the future needs of the community; when the law-making apparatus is persistently constipated by political blockages, we cannot realistically expect better performance. 

Perhaps the better wisdom in this regard comes from Oliver Wendell Holmes, who observed that “The life of the law has not been logic; it has been experience.”  He was speaking there about domestic law, but the lesson applies equally to international law: because it is so difficult for lawmakers to anticipate future needs with sufficient clarity, the wiser course is to adapt incrementally to evolving demands, with the law continuously playing catch-up.

3.  The United States is at its strongest, and its most effective, when it lives up to the rhetoric of support for the rule of law.

This can be a hard lesson to learn.  When a country is a superpower – a fortiori, when it is the planet’s sole superpower – it can be tempting to disregard the established international rules in pursuit of short-term national gain, or to “do the right thing” in response to an emergency situation, even if it is not quite the legal thing.  But these days, when we nervously observe the rise of China as a near-peer competitor, partner, and potential adversary, we gain greater appreciation for the value of constructing a set of enduring rules that bind even the planet’s most powerful players.

The United States, therefore, needs to be attentive to the precedents we create, wary that a pattern of contested uses of military force may open the door for unwelcome emulation by others.  When the United States applies its power to assist Kosovo’s struggle for independence and recognition, what implications may that carry for Russian actions regarding Georgia’s separatist regions?  When the United States and its coalition allies apply military might in Libya, Iraq, or Syria, what lessons will others extract regarding Russian intervention in Ukraine?  The situations, of course, are different – all international crises are sui generis in many respects – but they carry points of similarity, too, and we should be attentive to how these actions will appear, when viewed from the perspective of other capital cities.  The “bottom line” cannot be simply a litany that attempts to differentiate U.S. behavior from others and to and justify U.S. actions with some version of “We are the good guys.” 

In the long run, hypocrisy and claims of “American exceptionalism” are not a sound basis for international law; to be effective as a champion of the concept of “rule of law,” the United States has to concede that sometimes, the law will impede even us from doing things we might otherwise prefer.

4.  Traditional international law – in particular, the law of armed conflict – provides an adequate basis for starting to address the new challenges.

We live in a world of dramatic, abrupt, and scary change.  There is rapid technological change – as evidenced by the emergence of cyber hostilities, drone strikes, and autonomous lethal robotics.  There is rapid political change – as evidenced by the impact of non-state actors, far beyond anything contemplated by the drafters of the U.N. Charter in 1945, and by the incessant pressures on statehood (both pressure to dissolve the state into smaller and smaller entities, and the converse pressure to amalgamate states into larger and larger regional organizations such as the European Union.)  There is also rapid change in the diversity and persistence of the types of threats to national security – as evidenced by the newfound apprehension over global climate change and the eruption of pandemic diseases such as Ebola.

Still, it is important to note that international law in general, and the law of armed conflict in particular, have endured similar storms in the past.  They have responded successfully to prior “revolutions in military affairs,” from the invention of the longbow to gunpowder to aircraft to atomic weaponry.  I contend that the core principles – now abbreviated as requirements for military necessity, discrimination, proportionality and humanity – will retain their validity and will be able to adapt to the new provocations. 

Of course, modification of many particular rules will be necessary, sometimes urgently; and numerous new rules may be required to bring these new factors fully within the ambit of civilized behavior.  But the task, essentially, is one of modification and enhancement of a solid corpus of still-viable law, not a task of throwing away the lessons of Grotius, Lieber, and Martens, and starting over with a clean slate.

5. Conclusion

Sometimes, when shrouded by the “fog of war,” dazed participants may ask whether we still need, and can still count upon, familiar principles of international law.  I argue that it is precisely at these times of trauma and transition that we need law the most.  If we compromise or abandon our principles during periods of stress, then they aren’t really principles, they’re just habits.  Justice Brandeis, among others, would counsel against that turn of mind..

*“The Fog of War: Is the Rule of Law Still Relevant?” is the title of a seminar sponsored by the Potomac institute for Policy Studies, and co-sponsored by the Inter-University Center for Terrorism Studies; the Inter-University Center for Legal Studies; the International Center for Terrorism Studies; and the Center for National Security Law at the University of Virginia School of Law. It was held at the International Law Institute in Washington D.C. on September 18, 2014. Professor Koplow made a presentation at the seminar from which this article is taken. His remarks at the above event are published in Terrorism: An Electronic Journal and Knowledge Base, Vol. III, No. 3 (November 2014).

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© 2014 – The International Judicial Academy
with assistance from the American Society of International Law.

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